2015 Performance Summary

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2015 Performance Summary

We recently closed the books on our first year of trading and wanted to share our results with the rest of the world. We’re happy to report our Forex Trading Service gained +21.8% while our Futures Trading Service increased +43.5%. Considering the S&P 500 returned less than 1% over that same time, you’ll understand why we’re

Low Sentiment = Lower Prices

Posted on 06/07/15 When we see single-digit sentiment readings, we typically look for a reversal in price. With so many traders looking for lower prices, the market has a tendency to reward contrarians on the other side of the trade. There are times, however, where low sentiment simply isn’t enough to reverse a long protracted

Euro Sentiment Setup

Posted on 06/04/15 We’ve seen some extreme moves in Euro sentiment over the past few weeks. These large changes in perspective tend to offer unique opportunities for longer-term traders - let’s take a look at the data and see what we can expect from the Euro in the coming months: Euro sentiment decreased from 85%

S&P Summary – January 2015

Posted 01/31/15 Fifty-two percent (11/21) of the trading days in January saw S&P futures close ± 1%.  That’s more than the previous three January’s combined (2/21 in 2012, 1/22 in 2013, and 5/22 in 2014).  While the recent volatility was unexpected, it provides us with an opportunity to do what we do best…make money.  Throughout

Odds Favor Lower Prices for S&P

Posted at 8:04pm ET on 01/28/15 - S&P futures are trading +5.50 points above the 01/28/15 low S&P futures lost -2.2% today, which is the largest single-day drop since 10/09/14 (-2.3%).  This push downward is sure to have aggressive swing traders getting long for a bounce.  If you find yourself wanting to get long here,

What’s Next for Bonds?

Posted on 01/07/15 Bonds had a strong start to the year, gaining +2.5% over the first three trading sessions of 2015.  Those gains helped push the market a new multiyear high.  With Bonds trading about 1% lower from the recent high, did Bonds just put in a significant top?  Let’s take a look… On 01/06/15,

Has the S&P Bottomed?

Posted on 01/06/15 The last five trading sessions have not been kind to S&P Bulls, as the market is down approximately -4.4% over that period of time.  Tonight, S&P futures are trading about +0.8% above today’s low.  So, has the market bottomed?  Before you go piling into new long positions, consider the following: S&P sentiment decreased

Long Crude Trade

Posted on 11/13/14 Crude closed at 4% Bulls on 11/13/14 Since 2009, Crude was <6% Bulls only five other times Those dates were: 02/17/09, 02/18/09, 06/01/12, 10/09/14, and 10/14/14 Looking at those dates, Crude always made a lower low but tended to bounce thereafter. Our sentiment models suggested a buy order at 73.72 with a stop

Near Term Bounce In Silver

Posted on 10/30/14 Silver decreased from 20% to 9% Bulls on 10/30/14 Since 2006, Silver lost >9% Bulls and closed <11% Bulls four other times Those dates were: 02/04/10, 12/14/11, 04/12/13, and 06/20/13 Looking at those dates, it appears as though Silver has more work to do on the downside. The shallowest decline was >4%

Is The Bottom In for S&P?

...Odds Say No Posted on 08/03/14 Between 07/30/14 and 08/01/14, S&P sentiment decreased from 63% to 42% Bulls. Since 2006, S&P sentiment decreased >19 over a two-day period 20 other times. The S&P 500 made a new low 80% of the time (16/20) within two trading days. The S&P 500 made a new low 100%

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